Working globally to reduce disaster risk for the urban poor.
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Why Tomorrow’s Cities?
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Why Tomorrow’s Cities?
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Urban Population by 2050
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70% of the world’s population will be living in cities*
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* 2018 United Nations projections
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Urban Expansion
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95% of urban expansion will take place in the global south.
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Multi Hazards
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Cities are already exposed to different hazards
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Poor Communities
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…are among the most severely affected by the impacts of natural hazards
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Opportunity
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~60% of the area projected to be urbanised by 2030 remains to be built, providing a unique, time-limited, opportunity to change the future...
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Video
The TCDSE
Introduction
Tomorrow’s Cities Decision Support Environment (TCDSE) is the Hub’s flagship disaster risk reduction framework to facilitate multi-hazard, risk-informed planning and decision-making in expanding cities.
Using a collaborative approach, the TCDSE gives voice not only to the planning authorities, municipalities, the government and the private sector, but also to the communities who will live in these future cities.
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Stage 1 Title
Future Visioning
Stage 1 Intro
During Future Visioning stakeholders collectively imagine, discuss, and propose visions for their future city.
Stage 1 Link
Stage 2 Title
Visioning Scenario Development
Stage 2 Intro
In this stage, Visions are transformed into Scenarios representing future urban contexts. This includes the built environment and social context.
Stage 2 Link
Stage 3 Title
Computational Model
Stage 3 Intro
The Computational Model stage assesses the impacts of selected hazards on the physical and social fabric represented in the scenarios generated in the previous stage.
Stage 3 Link
Stage 4 Title
Risk Agreement
Stage 4 Intro
During the Risk Agreement, the Impact Metrics generated in the previous stage are taken back to the community to understand what they impact their lives.
Stage 4 Link
Stage 5 Title
Visioning Scenario Assessment
Stage 5 Intro
to come
Stage 5 Link
Iterative Process
Iterative Process Intro
Information gained from the 4 initial stages is fed back into the process at the Future Visioning stage and informs the further stages to produce a more specific and refined Visioning Scenario, Computational Model, and Risk Agreement. This process can be repeated as many times as required as more information is learned to produce the best result.
Stage 1 Title
Future Visioning
Stage 1 Intro
During Future Visioning stakeholders collectively imagine, discuss, and propose visions for their future city.
Stage 1 Link
Stage 2 Title
Visioning Scenario Development
Stage 2 Intro
In this stage, Visions are transformed into Scenarios representing future urban contexts. This includes the built environment and social context.
Stage 2 Link
Stage 3 Title
Computational Model
Stage 3 Intro
The Computational Model stage assesses the impacts of selected hazards on the physical and social fabric represented in the scenarios generated in the previous stage.
Stage 3 Link
Stage 4 Title
Risk Agreement
Stage 4 Intro
During the Risk Agreement, the Impact Metrics generated in the previous stage are taken back to the community to understand what they impact their lives.
Stage 4 Link
Stage 5 Title
Visioning Scenario Assessment
Stage 5 Intro
to come
Stage 5 Link
Iterative Process
Iterative Process Intro
Information gained from the 4 initial stages is fed back into the process at the Future Visioning stage and informs the further stages to produce a more specific and refined Visioning Scenario, Computational Model, and Risk Agreement. This process can be repeated as many times as required as more information is learned to produce the best result.
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